May is here, so let’s have a look at the latest iceberg analysis chart to see when and where we can expect to see some icebergs:

Iceberg Analysis Chart – May 1st, 2021

This isn’t a bad chart, but it’s not particularly promising either, is it? After a lacklustre sea ice season it’s not surprising to see low iceberg numbers too. Sea ice protects icebergs from wave erosion, so when there’s little to no sea ice, fewer icebergs survive the journey south.

In Newfoundland, only the Great Northern Peninsula has decent iceberg numbers on the chart right now, and from what I understand most of those icebergs are either quite small or so far out to sea that nobody’s seen or reported them yet.

Let’s compare today’s chart with the May 1st chart from 2019, which was a very good year for iceberg watchers:

Iceberg Analysis Chart – May 1st, 2019

That’s a completely different picture, isn’t it?

Icebergs were so plentiful in 2019 I found a small iceberg while hiking the East Coast Trail in July, which was fun because they’ve usually melted by then so close to St. John’s.

By comparison, 2021 is starting to look a lot more like 2011, which had a poor iceberg season if we were to judge it by numbers alone:

Iceberg Analysis Chart – May 1st, 2011

Because of the poor iceberg outlook for the Avalon Peninsula that year, I took a trip to Twillingate and Fogo Island to see the sea ice and icebergs there. You see, even during a poor iceberg season you can still treat yourself to a great big iceberg adventure! 🙂